Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Giantec Semiconductor Corporation (688123.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.35 - $77.18$55.14
Multi-Stage$32.99 - $36.07$34.50
Blended Fair Value$44.82
Current Price$162.47
Upside-72.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.79%0.00%0.200.670.210.310.200.140.190.180.240.00
YoY Growth---70.52%227.19%-34.01%57.66%38.41%-25.62%8.27%-25.95%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.24%1.27%0.27%0.49%0.62%0.33%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)398.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.7549.8429.91
Cash Retained (M)351.32351.32351.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.75-49.84-29.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)271.57301.48321.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.10159.10159.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.711.892.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.711.892.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.012.192.32
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate4.79%5.79%6.79%
Fair Value$40.35$55.14$77.18
Upside / Downside-75.17%-66.06%-52.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)398.76421.85446.27472.11499.44528.36544.21
Payout Ratio11.90%27.52%43.14%58.76%74.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.43116.08192.51277.40371.48475.53503.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate4.79%5.79%6.79%
Year 1 PV (M)104.53105.53106.52
Year 2 PV (M)156.11159.10162.13
Year 3 PV (M)202.57208.43214.40
Year 4 PV (M)244.29253.75263.48
Year 5 PV (M)281.60295.29309.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,259.934,467.114,682.27
Equity Value (M)5,249.035,489.215,738.31
Shares Outstanding (M)159.10159.10159.10
Fair Value$32.99$34.50$36.07
Upside / Downside-79.69%-78.76%-77.80%

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