Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BOZHON Precision Industry Technology Co.,Ltd (688097.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105.32 - $203.73$190.85
Multi-Stage$101.21 - $111.52$106.27
Blended Fair Value$148.56
Current Price$37.34
Upside297.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS70.27%0.00%0.350.110.110.080.050.020.100.680.020.00
YoY Growth--227.30%-5.20%36.07%60.58%111.09%-74.65%-85.70%2,976.46%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.42%0.36%0.29%0.25%0.12%0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)476.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)346.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)95.3959.6235.77
Cash Retained (M)346.09346.09346.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-95.39-59.62-35.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)250.70286.47310.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)446.05446.05446.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate1.82%1.82%1.82%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Fair Value$105.32$190.85$203.73
Upside / Downside182.05%411.10%445.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)476.93486.44496.15506.05516.15526.44542.24
Payout Ratio27.43%39.95%52.46%64.97%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.84194.32260.28328.80399.95473.80501.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.82%1.82%1.82%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Year 1 PV (M)188.99190.86192.73
Year 2 PV (M)246.18251.08256.03
Year 3 PV (M)302.45311.52320.77
Year 4 PV (M)357.79372.17386.99
Year 5 PV (M)412.22433.04454.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,638.2445,841.8648,133.61
Equity Value (M)45,145.8747,400.5349,744.82
Shares Outstanding (M)446.05446.05446.05
Fair Value$101.21$106.27$111.52
Upside / Downside171.05%184.59%198.67%

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