Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BayCurrent Consulting, Inc. (6532.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,058.15 - $5,262.40$4,008.56
Multi-Stage$2,462.18 - $2,683.39$2,570.81
Blended Fair Value$3,289.69
Current Price$8,399.00
Upside-60.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS52.85%0.00%50.1341.2831.2820.6711.576.016.523.040.001.99
YoY Growth--21.44%31.98%51.32%78.67%92.55%-7.87%114.65%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%1.29%0.61%0.51%0.35%0.77%1.79%0.72%0.00%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,926.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,498.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,985.204,365.752,619.45
Cash Retained (M)25,498.0025,498.0025,498.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,985.20-4,365.75-2,619.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,512.8021,132.2522,878.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.97151.97151.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share121.82139.05150.54
LTM Dividend per Share62.0462.0462.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share121.82139.05150.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend183.85201.09212.58
WACC / Discount Rate11.84%11.84%11.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,058.15$4,008.56$5,262.40
Upside / Downside-63.59%-52.27%-37.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,926.0037,196.1939,613.9442,188.8544,931.1247,851.6549,287.20
Payout Ratio26.99%39.60%52.20%64.80%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,428.0014,727.9720,677.1027,337.4034,776.1743,066.4845,590.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.84%11.84%11.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,044.8313,168.4813,292.13
Year 2 PV (M)16,221.1216,530.0816,841.96
Year 3 PV (M)18,995.1919,540.4820,096.10
Year 4 PV (M)21,402.4722,225.5523,072.14
Year 5 PV (M)23,475.6224,609.5025,786.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)281,042.83294,617.30308,711.31
Equity Value (M)374,182.05390,691.39407,800.41
Shares Outstanding (M)151.97151.97151.97
Fair Value$2,462.18$2,570.81$2,683.39
Upside / Downside-70.68%-69.39%-68.05%

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