Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Morita Holdings Corporation (6455.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,743.13 - $16,526.98$8,999.00
Multi-Stage$6,073.55 - $6,662.72$6,362.59
Blended Fair Value$7,680.80
Current Price$2,324.00
Upside230.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.53%9.92%49.6347.6441.7640.0239.9139.7730.3630.3623.0428.51
YoY Growth--4.18%14.09%4.34%0.29%0.35%30.97%0.00%31.76%-19.17%47.96%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.60%2.69%3.03%2.50%2.11%1.57%1.36%1.31%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,179.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,501.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,035.801,272.38763.43
Cash Retained (M)7,678.007,678.007,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,035.80-1,272.38-763.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,642.206,405.636,914.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
LTM Dividend per Share57.9257.9257.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend188.60206.28218.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$5,743.13$8,999.00$16,526.98
Upside / Downside147.12%287.22%611.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,179.0010,601.6511,041.8411,500.3111,977.8212,475.1612,849.42
Payout Ratio24.57%37.66%50.74%63.83%76.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,501.003,992.175,602.867,340.439,212.6311,227.6411,885.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)3,711.153,747.133,783.10
Year 2 PV (M)4,841.814,936.155,031.39
Year 3 PV (M)5,896.836,069.996,246.52
Year 4 PV (M)6,879.867,150.557,429.15
Year 5 PV (M)7,794.418,179.628,579.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)233,112.33244,632.99256,604.70
Equity Value (M)262,236.39274,716.42287,674.77
Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
Fair Value$6,073.55$6,362.59$6,662.72
Upside / Downside161.34%173.78%186.69%

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