Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Keluarga Berhad (6139.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.09 - $4.47$3.76
Multi-Stage$5.85 - $6.45$6.15
Blended Fair Value$4.95
Current Price$3.08
Upside60.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.51%-1.05%0.140.130.120.120.000.330.140.110.070.07
YoY Growth--3.70%12.73%0.63%0.00%-100.00%134.05%25.33%64.29%5.10%-56.22%
Dividend Yield--3.77%3.64%3.49%3.18%0.00%10.29%2.70%3.43%1.75%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)375.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)350.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.1746.9828.19
Cash Retained (M)350.02350.02350.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.17-46.98-28.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)274.85303.04321.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)864.35864.35864.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-3.05%-2.05%-1.05%
Fair Value$3.09$3.76$4.47
Upside / Downside0.35%22.07%44.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)375.87368.15360.59353.18345.93338.82348.99
Payout Ratio6.88%23.50%40.13%56.75%73.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.8586.52144.69200.43253.83304.94322.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-3.05%-2.05%-1.05%
Year 1 PV (M)79.4080.2281.04
Year 2 PV (M)121.85124.38126.93
Year 3 PV (M)154.90159.74164.68
Year 4 PV (M)180.01187.55195.33
Year 5 PV (M)198.46208.90219.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,324.464,552.144,789.31
Equity Value (M)5,059.075,312.935,577.08
Shares Outstanding (M)864.35864.35864.35
Fair Value$5.85$6.15$6.45
Upside / Downside90.03%99.57%109.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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