Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ways Electron Co.,Ltd. (605218.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.61 - $2.31$1.95
Multi-Stage$2.55 - $2.81$2.68
Blended Fair Value$2.31
Current Price$21.36
Upside-89.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS113.06%0.00%0.140.240.050.120.000.000.830.710.100.00
YoY Growth---43.31%376.48%-58.23%0.00%-100.00%-99.63%16.87%584.65%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%1.14%0.31%0.91%0.00%0.02%5.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.786.113.67
Cash Retained (M)37.1937.1937.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.78-6.11-3.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4131.0833.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)211.99211.99211.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.61$1.95$2.31
Upside / Downside-92.47%-90.87%-89.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.9048.4147.9247.4446.9746.5047.90
Payout Ratio23.94%37.15%50.37%63.58%76.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.7117.9924.1430.1636.0741.8544.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.3016.4616.63
Year 2 PV (M)19.8220.2220.63
Year 3 PV (M)22.4423.1323.84
Year 4 PV (M)24.3125.3226.36
Year 5 PV (M)25.5626.8928.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)433.05455.60479.08
Equity Value (M)541.48567.63594.82
Shares Outstanding (M)211.99211.99211.99
Fair Value$2.55$2.68$2.81
Upside / Downside-88.04%-87.46%-86.86%

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