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Zhe Jiang Taihua New Material Co., Ltd. (603055.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.30 - $116.77$109.43
Multi-Stage$18.36 - $20.08$19.20
Blended Fair Value$64.32
Current Price$8.97
Upside617.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.02%8.76%0.300.100.160.050.070.120.130.040.080.12
YoY Growth--206.24%-39.65%257.82%-32.76%-44.00%-9.09%258.55%-53.02%-35.35%-6.05%
Dividend Yield--2.66%1.02%1.48%0.39%1.17%2.09%1.52%0.35%0.84%1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)525.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)316.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)209.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.1965.7439.45
Cash Retained (M)209.08209.08209.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.19-65.74-39.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.89143.34169.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)895.76895.76895.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.30$109.43$116.77
Upside / Downside561.14%1,119.92%1,201.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)525.93560.12596.53635.30676.60720.57742.19
Payout Ratio60.25%66.20%72.15%78.10%84.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)316.85370.78430.38496.16568.67648.52686.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)345.42348.69351.96
Year 2 PV (M)373.51380.62387.80
Year 3 PV (M)401.14412.65424.39
Year 4 PV (M)428.31444.78461.73
Year 5 PV (M)455.03477.01499.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,441.2915,138.8115,863.02
Equity Value (M)16,444.6917,202.5717,988.73
Shares Outstanding (M)895.76895.76895.76
Fair Value$18.36$19.20$20.08
Upside / Downside104.66%114.10%123.88%

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