Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Whirlpool China Co., Ltd. (600983.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.13 - $12.03$9.27
Multi-Stage$26.79 - $29.58$28.16
Blended Fair Value$18.71
Current Price$10.22
Upside83.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.39%3.48%0.080.710.000.000.050.050.090.100.370.05
YoY Growth---88.97%46,790,243.08%-11.29%-100.00%0.00%-42.36%-17.38%-71.96%648.80%-10.09%
Dividend Yield--0.80%8.16%0.00%0.00%0.66%0.79%1.18%1.62%3.53%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)465.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)376.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.1058.1934.91
Cash Retained (M)376.41376.41376.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.10-58.19-34.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)283.31318.23341.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)771.58771.58771.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.13$9.27$12.03
Upside / Downside-30.27%-9.29%17.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)465.50460.84456.23451.67447.15442.68455.96
Payout Ratio19.14%33.31%47.48%61.65%75.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.08153.51216.63278.48339.07398.41421.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)145.22146.70148.19
Year 2 PV (M)193.88197.86201.87
Year 3 PV (M)235.78243.07250.51
Year 4 PV (M)271.58282.84294.44
Year 5 PV (M)301.90317.62333.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,522.1320,538.6921,597.17
Equity Value (M)20,670.4921,726.7822,826.17
Shares Outstanding (M)771.58771.58771.58
Fair Value$26.79$28.16$29.58
Upside / Downside162.13%175.53%189.47%

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