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UMS Holdings Limited (558.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.42 - $11.62$5.25
Multi-Stage$1.36 - $1.49$1.42
Blended Fair Value$3.34
Current Price$1.33
Upside150.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.37%4.42%0.050.050.050.030.040.030.040.040.040.04
YoY Growth--5.97%8.46%47.26%-15.00%42.06%-36.36%10.00%4.17%0.00%3.38%
Dividend Yield--4.82%3.77%4.23%2.59%3.54%5.28%6.87%4.03%6.62%10.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.315.203.12
Cash Retained (M)4.634.634.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.31-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.69-0.571.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)711.32711.32711.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.42$5.25$11.62
Upside / Downside81.99%294.52%773.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.5744.2847.1550.2253.4856.9658.67
Payout Ratio88.87%89.10%89.32%89.55%89.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.9539.4542.1244.9748.0151.2654.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.3436.6837.03
Year 2 PV (M)35.7436.4237.11
Year 3 PV (M)35.1536.1637.19
Year 4 PV (M)34.5735.9037.27
Year 5 PV (M)34.0035.6537.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)793.21831.53871.30
Equity Value (M)969.021,012.341,057.25
Shares Outstanding (M)711.32711.32711.32
Fair Value$1.36$1.42$1.49
Upside / Downside2.43%7.01%11.75%

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