Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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XAC Automation Corporation (5490.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.24 - $65.11$41.28
Multi-Stage$118.61 - $131.07$124.72
Blended Fair Value$83.00
Current Price$32.05
Upside158.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.232.031.510.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-39.11%33.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%4.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)138.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.6617.2910.37
Cash Retained (M)105.68105.68105.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.66-17.29-10.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.0288.3995.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.7393.7393.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.941.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.941.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate2.10%2.10%2.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$28.24$41.28$65.11
Upside / Downside-11.89%28.80%103.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)138.28136.90135.53134.18132.83131.51135.45
Payout Ratio23.58%36.86%50.15%63.43%76.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.6050.4667.9685.11101.90118.36125.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.10%2.10%2.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)48.9349.4349.93
Year 2 PV (M)63.8965.2066.53
Year 3 PV (M)77.5779.9782.42
Year 4 PV (M)90.0693.7997.64
Year 5 PV (M)101.41106.70112.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,735.8211,294.8611,876.95
Equity Value (M)11,117.6811,689.9512,285.65
Shares Outstanding (M)93.7393.7393.73
Fair Value$118.61$124.72$131.07
Upside / Downside270.09%289.14%308.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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