Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ranhill Utilities Berhad (5272.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.17 - $10.79$4.54
Multi-Stage$3.24 - $3.56$3.39
Blended Fair Value$3.97
Current Price$1.94
Upside104.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-35.88%-25.06%0.010.060.020.020.070.050.070.070.070.14
YoY Growth---90.39%288.17%-21.48%-72.21%33.11%-20.99%-10.01%14.00%-52.56%34.08%
Dividend Yield--0.47%5.50%3.14%3.88%8.81%6.09%6.35%13.41%9.96%15.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.489.055.43
Cash Retained (M)48.0848.0848.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.48-9.05-5.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.6139.0442.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,295.951,295.951,295.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Fair Value$2.17$4.54$10.79
Upside / Downside11.64%133.99%456.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.3874.8877.4780.1582.9285.7988.36
Payout Ratio33.57%44.86%56.14%67.43%78.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.3033.5943.5054.0465.2777.2181.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.57%4.57%4.57%
Growth Rate2.46%3.46%4.46%
Year 1 PV (M)31.8132.1232.43
Year 2 PV (M)39.0139.7840.55
Year 3 PV (M)45.9147.2648.65
Year 4 PV (M)52.5154.5956.73
Year 5 PV (M)58.8261.7564.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,965.684,163.024,368.15
Equity Value (M)4,193.744,398.524,611.30
Shares Outstanding (M)1,295.951,295.951,295.95
Fair Value$3.24$3.39$3.56
Upside / Downside66.81%74.95%83.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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