Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ataa Educational Company (4292.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.50 - $389.02$250.22
Multi-Stage$55.42 - $60.62$57.97
Blended Fair Value$154.10
Current Price$61.20
Upside151.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.41%2.64%1.291.101.000.950.950.950.830.000.000.00
YoY Growth--17.68%10.00%5.22%0.00%0.19%14.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.12%1.43%1.63%1.79%1.46%2.56%2.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.5610.356.21
Cash Retained (M)27.9827.9827.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.56-10.35-6.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.4117.6221.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.0942.0942.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.420.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.420.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Fair Value$95.50$250.22$389.02
Upside / Downside56.05%308.86%535.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.8087.6792.8398.28104.06110.18113.48
Payout Ratio66.22%70.97%75.73%80.49%85.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.8362.2270.3079.1088.7099.16104.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate4.88%5.88%6.88%
Year 1 PV (M)57.8258.3758.92
Year 2 PV (M)60.6961.8563.03
Year 3 PV (M)63.4665.2967.16
Year 4 PV (M)66.1268.6871.31
Year 5 PV (M)68.6872.0175.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,015.802,113.762,215.48
Equity Value (M)2,332.562,439.952,551.37
Shares Outstanding (M)42.0942.0942.09
Fair Value$55.42$57.97$60.62
Upside / Downside-9.44%-5.27%-0.95%

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