Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Xiaomi Corporation (3CP.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.09 - $5.96$5.00
Multi-Stage$6.74 - $7.42$7.07
Blended Fair Value$6.03
Current Price$19.85
Upside-69.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,007.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)588.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,418.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,801.511,750.951,050.57
Cash Retained (M)13,418.8413,418.8413,418.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,801.51-1,750.95-1,050.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,617.3311,667.9012,368.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25,417.2225,417.2225,417.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.09$5.00$5.96
Upside / Downside-79.38%-74.83%-69.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,007.5613,867.4913,728.8113,591.5213,455.6113,321.0513,720.68
Payout Ratio4.20%21.36%38.52%55.68%72.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)588.722,962.415,288.577,567.929,801.1411,988.9512,691.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,701.402,728.962,756.53
Year 2 PV (M)4,397.694,487.904,579.02
Year 3 PV (M)5,738.595,916.066,097.16
Year 4 PV (M)6,777.187,058.067,347.58
Year 5 PV (M)7,559.567,953.208,363.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)144,074.82151,577.13159,388.77
Equity Value (M)171,249.24179,721.32188,532.13
Shares Outstanding (M)25,417.2225,417.2225,417.22
Fair Value$6.74$7.07$7.42
Upside / Downside-66.06%-64.38%-62.63%

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