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Definitive Analysis

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NEXTIN, Inc. (348210.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,762.11 - $16,257.76$13,353.21
Multi-Stage$21,961.58 - $24,150.60$23,034.69
Blended Fair Value$18,193.95
Current Price$49,500.00
Upside-63.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%502.51486.64477.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.26%1.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.68%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,707.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,000.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,706.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,541.431,588.39953.04
Cash Retained (M)6,706.386,706.386,706.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,541.43-1,588.39-953.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,164.955,117.995,753.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.1410.1410.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share410.93504.96567.65
LTM Dividend per Share592.06592.06592.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share410.93504.96567.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,002.991,097.021,159.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10,762.11$13,353.21$16,257.76
Upside / Downside-78.26%-73.02%-67.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,707.1412,580.0712,454.2712,329.7212,206.4312,084.3612,446.89
Payout Ratio47.22%55.78%64.33%72.89%81.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,000.767,017.018,012.348,987.069,941.4910,875.9311,513.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,483.646,549.806,615.96
Year 2 PV (M)6,840.576,980.897,122.63
Year 3 PV (M)7,089.537,308.787,532.50
Year 4 PV (M)7,246.327,546.657,856.21
Year 5 PV (M)7,324.867,706.288,103.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)187,604.40197,373.40207,545.18
Equity Value (M)222,589.32233,465.79244,775.90
Shares Outstanding (M)10.1410.1410.14
Fair Value$21,961.58$23,034.69$24,150.60
Upside / Downside-55.63%-53.47%-51.21%

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