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Definitive Analysis

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Hoosiers Holdings Co., Ltd. (3284.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,357.05 - $11,414.84$5,505.84
Multi-Stage$2,750.11 - $3,012.71$2,878.97
Blended Fair Value$4,192.40
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside223.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.60%17.59%55.6553.6741.6734.1337.3346.6334.5419.6514.3711.42
YoY Growth--3.69%28.82%22.08%-8.57%-19.94%35.01%75.72%36.79%25.80%3.75%
Dividend Yield--4.47%4.60%4.17%4.26%5.23%8.80%5.54%2.47%1.48%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,548.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,045.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,503.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)909.60568.50341.10
Cash Retained (M)3,503.003,503.003,503.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-909.60-568.50-341.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,593.402,934.503,161.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8936.8936.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share70.3079.5585.71
LTM Dividend per Share28.3328.3328.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share70.3079.5585.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend98.63107.88114.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.24%7.24%7.24%
Growth Rate4.18%5.18%6.18%
Fair Value$3,357.05$5,505.84$11,414.84
Upside / Downside159.03%324.83%780.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,548.004,783.545,031.285,291.845,565.905,854.166,029.78
Payout Ratio22.98%36.38%49.79%63.19%76.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,045.001,740.332,504.883,343.964,263.235,268.745,577.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.24%7.24%7.24%
Growth Rate4.18%5.18%6.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,607.411,622.841,638.27
Year 2 PV (M)2,136.872,178.092,219.71
Year 3 PV (M)2,634.802,711.402,789.48
Year 4 PV (M)3,102.563,223.413,347.76
Year 5 PV (M)3,541.473,714.743,894.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)88,426.1392,752.3497,246.25
Equity Value (M)101,449.24106,202.83111,136.18
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8936.8936.89
Fair Value$2,750.11$2,878.97$3,012.71
Upside / Downside112.20%122.14%132.46%

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