Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fu Hua Innovation Co. Ltd. (3056.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$673.62 - $1,104.02$1,034.63
Multi-Stage$175.35 - $192.18$183.61
Blended Fair Value$609.12
Current Price$24.81
Upside2,355.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.87%-6.33%0.281.980.631.841.250.620.921.141.140.17
YoY Growth---85.90%213.40%-65.76%47.72%100.07%-32.28%-19.58%0.00%566.35%-67.96%
Dividend Yield--1.00%9.64%2.71%10.74%6.50%4.35%9.98%9.39%9.88%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,794.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)140.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,654.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)558.91349.32209.59
Cash Retained (M)2,654.222,654.222,654.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-558.91-349.32-209.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,095.312,304.902,444.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)503.40503.40503.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.164.584.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.164.584.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.444.865.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$673.62$1,034.63$1,104.02
Upside / Downside2,615.11%4,070.21%4,349.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,794.552,976.203,169.653,375.683,595.093,828.783,943.64
Payout Ratio5.02%22.02%39.01%56.01%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)140.33655.281,236.571,890.672,624.573,445.903,647.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)611.26617.05622.84
Year 2 PV (M)1,076.001,096.501,117.19
Year 3 PV (M)1,534.641,578.691,623.58
Year 4 PV (M)1,987.222,063.642,142.25
Year 5 PV (M)2,433.802,551.362,673.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,626.2984,520.5788,563.89
Equity Value (M)88,269.2092,427.8096,743.15
Shares Outstanding (M)503.40503.40503.40
Fair Value$175.35$183.61$192.18
Upside / Downside606.75%640.05%674.60%

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