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Definitive Analysis

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Shandong Yuma Sun-shading Technology Corp., Ltd. (300993.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.81 - $110.53$103.58
Multi-Stage$35.61 - $39.05$37.30
Blended Fair Value$70.44
Current Price$17.67
Upside298.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS201.91%0.00%0.280.140.090.000.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--98.27%62.00%0.00%-100.00%4,293.22%-1.73%-18.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.20%0.87%0.00%0.33%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)168.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.6121.0112.60
Cash Retained (M)107.63107.63107.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.61-21.01-12.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.0286.6295.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)302.28302.28302.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$93.81$103.58$110.53
Upside / Downside430.92%486.20%525.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)168.05178.92190.49202.81215.93229.90236.80
Payout Ratio35.95%46.76%57.57%68.38%79.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.4283.67109.67138.69171.00206.91219.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)79.2179.9680.71
Year 2 PV (M)98.29100.17102.06
Year 3 PV (M)117.67121.05124.50
Year 4 PV (M)137.36142.64148.08
Year 5 PV (M)157.35164.95172.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,174.7810,666.3711,176.79
Equity Value (M)10,764.6611,275.1511,804.97
Shares Outstanding (M)302.28302.28302.28
Fair Value$35.61$37.30$39.05
Upside / Downside101.54%111.09%121.01%

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