Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yusys Technologies Co., Ltd. (300674.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.92 - $110.25$41.79
Multi-Stage$11.92 - $13.03$12.47
Blended Fair Value$27.13
Current Price$25.22
Upside7.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.47%32.92%0.190.140.200.160.140.110.050.050.030.02
YoY Growth--39.25%-30.53%21.50%13.80%28.67%127.56%8.45%46.90%82.19%51.44%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.99%1.07%0.89%0.64%0.51%0.22%0.60%0.41%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)396.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)185.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)211.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.3749.6029.76
Cash Retained (M)211.66211.66211.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.37-49.60-29.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.30162.06181.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)715.81715.81715.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.92$41.79$110.25
Upside / Downside-17.03%65.71%337.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)396.84422.63450.10479.36510.52543.70560.01
Payout Ratio46.66%55.33%64.00%72.66%81.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)185.17233.84288.05348.32415.22489.33518.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)215.01217.05219.09
Year 2 PV (M)243.53248.17252.85
Year 3 PV (M)270.77278.55286.47
Year 4 PV (M)296.78308.20319.94
Year 5 PV (M)321.59337.13353.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,188.217,535.407,895.88
Equity Value (M)8,535.908,924.499,327.48
Shares Outstanding (M)715.81715.81715.81
Fair Value$11.92$12.47$13.03
Upside / Downside-52.72%-50.56%-48.33%

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