Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics Co., Ltd (300562.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.56 - $30.43$15.41
Multi-Stage$6.39 - $6.97$6.67
Blended Fair Value$11.04
Current Price$14.18
Upside-22.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS71.74%33.10%0.310.030.020.210.020.020.030.060.040.07
YoY Growth--1,055.51%59.08%-92.06%822.31%10.99%-20.70%-55.22%47.24%-41.64%282.64%
Dividend Yield--1.95%0.27%0.15%1.80%0.13%0.13%0.18%0.28%0.09%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.309.565.74
Cash Retained (M)41.9541.9541.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.30-9.56-5.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.6532.3936.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)212.65212.65212.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.56$15.41$30.43
Upside / Downside-32.56%8.68%114.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.5281.4986.7992.4398.44104.84107.98
Payout Ratio45.17%54.14%63.10%72.07%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.5644.1254.7766.6179.7794.3599.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40.2140.6040.98
Year 2 PV (M)45.5046.3747.25
Year 3 PV (M)50.4551.9053.37
Year 4 PV (M)55.0757.1959.37
Year 5 PV (M)59.3862.2465.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,107.401,160.891,216.42
Equity Value (M)1,358.011,419.181,482.61
Shares Outstanding (M)212.65212.65212.65
Fair Value$6.39$6.67$6.97
Upside / Downside-54.96%-52.93%-50.83%

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