Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yangzhou Yangjie Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (300373.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.54 - $156.00$88.58
Multi-Stage$38.93 - $42.55$40.71
Blended Fair Value$64.64
Current Price$69.44
Upside-6.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.98%40.21%0.940.560.240.170.090.240.140.100.050.05
YoY Growth--69.22%133.77%43.44%84.28%-61.71%71.33%31.34%109.05%-3.66%61.81%
Dividend Yield--2.03%1.45%0.43%0.22%0.23%1.03%0.71%0.36%0.24%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,306.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)254.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,052.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)261.39163.3798.02
Cash Retained (M)1,052.151,052.151,052.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-261.39-163.37-98.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)790.76888.78954.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.91541.91541.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.461.641.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.932.112.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$57.54$88.58$156.00
Upside / Downside-17.13%27.56%124.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,306.951,391.901,482.371,578.731,681.341,790.631,844.35
Payout Ratio19.50%33.60%47.70%61.80%75.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)254.80467.63707.05975.631,276.131,611.571,706.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)424.85428.87432.90
Year 2 PV (M)583.59594.71605.93
Year 3 PV (M)731.59752.59773.99
Year 4 PV (M)869.37902.80937.19
Year 5 PV (M)997.441,045.621,095.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,489.6218,334.3719,211.46
Equity Value (M)21,096.4522,058.9623,057.10
Shares Outstanding (M)541.91541.91541.91
Fair Value$38.93$40.71$42.55
Upside / Downside-43.94%-41.38%-38.73%

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