Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (300115.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.43 - $94.74$88.79
Multi-Stage$14.11 - $15.43$14.76
Blended Fair Value$51.77
Current Price$41.68
Upside24.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.37%14.66%0.150.180.180.230.180.170.170.160.160.08
YoY Growth---16.14%5.30%-22.86%28.10%1.66%5.66%0.25%6.22%97.24%99.54%
Dividend Yield--0.62%1.77%1.29%2.32%0.96%1.12%1.53%1.09%0.66%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)645.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)324.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)320.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)129.0680.6648.40
Cash Retained (M)320.61320.61320.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-129.06-80.66-48.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)191.55239.95272.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,354.491,354.491,354.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$40.43$88.79$94.74
Upside / Downside-3.00%113.03%127.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)645.28687.22731.89779.46830.13884.09910.61
Payout Ratio50.31%58.25%66.19%74.13%82.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)324.67400.32484.43577.78681.23795.68842.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)372.38375.90379.43
Year 2 PV (M)419.16427.15435.21
Year 3 PV (M)465.04478.39492.00
Year 4 PV (M)510.03529.64549.82
Year 5 PV (M)554.14580.90608.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,786.7717,597.5718,439.41
Equity Value (M)19,107.5119,989.5620,904.56
Shares Outstanding (M)1,354.491,354.491,354.49
Fair Value$14.11$14.76$15.43
Upside / Downside-66.15%-64.59%-62.97%

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