Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fields Corporation (2767.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,071.00 - $20,052.24$11,031.38
Multi-Stage$4,622.71 - $5,058.49$4,836.61
Blended Fair Value$7,933.99
Current Price$2,264.00
Upside250.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS51.19%4.66%41.9031.3910.345.165.305.302.7126.5826.5831.89
YoY Growth--33.49%203.72%100.31%-2.72%0.00%95.86%-89.81%0.00%-16.63%20.02%
Dividend Yield--2.02%1.83%0.35%1.14%2.20%3.19%1.05%5.08%4.41%5.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,888.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,827.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,577.602,236.001,341.60
Cash Retained (M)17,827.0017,827.0017,827.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,577.60-2,236.00-1,341.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,249.4015,591.0016,485.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.4062.4062.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share228.34249.84264.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share228.34249.84264.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend229.32250.82265.15
WACC / Discount Rate8.92%8.92%8.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,071.00$11,031.38$20,052.24
Upside / Downside212.32%387.25%785.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,888.0019,050.7220,289.0221,607.8023,012.3124,508.1125,243.35
Payout Ratio0.34%18.27%36.20%54.14%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.003,481.107,345.5611,697.6916,584.5622,057.3023,350.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.92%8.92%8.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,165.963,195.973,225.98
Year 2 PV (M)6,075.806,191.536,308.35
Year 3 PV (M)8,799.709,052.319,309.71
Year 4 PV (M)11,346.4811,782.8412,231.66
Year 5 PV (M)13,724.5814,387.4815,075.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)245,361.00257,212.03269,516.62
Equity Value (M)288,473.53301,822.16315,668.07
Shares Outstanding (M)62.4062.4062.40
Fair Value$4,622.71$4,836.61$5,058.49
Upside / Downside104.18%113.63%123.43%

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