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Definitive Analysis

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HD Hyundai Electric Co., Ltd. (267260.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$289,765.73 - $600,982.77$408,148.40
Multi-Stage$1,348,668.34 - $1,489,949.09$1,417,892.38
Blended Fair Value$913,020.39
Current Price$582,000.00
Upside56.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%2,103.16500.740.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--320.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)616,174.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260,938.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)355,235.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123,234.8377,021.7746,213.06
Cash Retained (M)355,235.24355,235.24355,235.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-123,234.83-77,021.77-46,213.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)232,000.41278,213.47309,022.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.9435.9435.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share6,455.577,741.488,598.76
LTM Dividend per Share7,260.817,260.817,260.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share6,455.577,741.488,598.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend13,716.3815,002.2915,859.57
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$289,765.73$408,148.40$600,982.77
Upside / Downside-50.21%-29.87%3.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)616,174.17610,012.42603,912.30597,873.18591,894.44585,975.50603,554.76
Payout Ratio42.35%51.88%61.41%70.94%80.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260,938.92316,465.86370,856.17424,127.03476,295.38527,377.95558,288.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)305,214.81308,329.24311,443.68
Year 2 PV (M)344,955.41352,031.24359,178.90
Year 3 PV (M)380,480.26392,246.87404,253.61
Year 4 PV (M)412,089.25429,168.42446,773.06
Year 5 PV (M)440,063.77462,978.91486,838.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,585,639.2149,011,461.5351,537,302.13
Equity Value (M)48,468,442.7150,956,216.2153,545,790.24
Shares Outstanding (M)35.9435.9435.94
Fair Value$1,348,668.34$1,417,892.38$1,489,949.09
Upside / Downside131.73%143.62%156.00%

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