Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

G-SHANK Enterprise Co., Ltd. (2476.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$114.43 - $481.86$197.46
Multi-Stage$103.29 - $113.15$108.13
Blended Fair Value$152.80
Current Price$105.00
Upside45.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.17%5.11%2.341.991.791.011.091.061.351.411.271.23
YoY Growth--17.36%11.17%77.71%-7.69%3.17%-21.25%-4.54%11.20%3.24%-13.63%
Dividend Yield--2.89%2.69%3.19%1.79%3.37%5.82%5.78%5.62%4.83%5.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)841.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)416.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)425.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)168.37105.2363.14
Cash Retained (M)425.27425.27425.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-168.37-105.23-63.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)256.90320.04362.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)219.89219.89219.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.461.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.891.891.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.461.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.063.353.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Fair Value$114.43$197.46$481.86
Upside / Downside8.98%88.06%358.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)841.85881.94923.94967.941,014.031,062.321,094.19
Payout Ratio49.48%57.59%65.69%73.79%81.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)416.58507.89606.94714.28830.46956.091,012.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.76%4.76%5.76%
Year 1 PV (M)472.16476.71481.26
Year 2 PV (M)524.56534.72544.98
Year 3 PV (M)573.90590.66607.73
Year 4 PV (M)620.32644.58669.55
Year 5 PV (M)663.93696.54730.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,857.7320,833.2421,846.71
Equity Value (M)22,712.6023,776.4524,880.66
Shares Outstanding (M)219.89219.89219.89
Fair Value$103.29$108.13$113.15
Upside / Downside-1.63%2.98%7.76%

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