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Definitive Analysis

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Finger, Inc. (163730.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,123.45 - $3,033.03$2,569.76
Multi-Stage$3,302.21 - $3,626.94$3,461.43
Blended Fair Value$3,015.60
Current Price$11,860.00
Upside-74.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%87.3698.1599.420.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.99%-1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.07%1.07%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,890.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)657.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,233.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)578.18361.37216.82
Cash Retained (M)2,233.592,233.592,233.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-578.18-361.37-216.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,655.411,872.232,016.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.299.299.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share178.29201.64217.21
LTM Dividend per Share70.7970.7970.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share178.29201.64217.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend249.08272.43288.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,123.45$2,569.76$3,033.03
Upside / Downside-82.10%-78.33%-74.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,890.922,862.012,833.392,805.062,777.012,749.242,831.71
Payout Ratio22.74%36.19%49.64%63.10%76.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)657.331,035.771,406.571,769.852,125.732,474.312,619.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)936.39945.94955.50
Year 2 PV (M)1,149.611,173.191,197.01
Year 3 PV (M)1,307.741,348.181,389.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,420.001,478.851,539.51
Year 5 PV (M)1,494.271,572.081,653.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,353.3025,621.4326,941.85
Equity Value (M)30,661.3132,139.6833,676.43
Shares Outstanding (M)9.299.299.29
Fair Value$3,302.21$3,461.43$3,626.94
Upside / Downside-72.16%-70.81%-69.42%

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