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Definitive Analysis

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Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (0Y4Q.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$506.20 - $1,439.66$790.46
Multi-Stage$569.03 - $624.66$596.32
Blended Fair Value$693.39
Current Price$344.22
Upside101.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.48%5.36%3.513.493.663.713.433.273.042.751.982.75
YoY Growth--0.57%-4.61%-1.34%8.09%5.17%7.52%10.47%39.20%-28.16%31.90%
Dividend Yield--1.04%1.29%1.58%1.58%1.49%2.12%1.72%1.82%1.29%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,116.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)358.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,758.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)423.20264.50158.70
Cash Retained (M)1,758.001,758.001,758.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-423.20-264.50-158.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,334.801,493.501,599.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)100.75100.75100.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.2514.8215.87
LTM Dividend per Share3.553.553.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.2514.8215.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.8018.3819.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.90%3.90%4.90%
Fair Value$506.20$790.46$1,439.66
Upside / Downside47.06%129.64%318.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,116.002,198.602,284.432,373.612,466.272,562.552,639.42
Payout Ratio16.92%31.53%46.15%60.77%75.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)358.00693.331,054.291,442.381,859.172,306.292,441.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.90%3.90%4.90%
Year 1 PV (M)645.84652.12658.40
Year 2 PV (M)914.82932.69950.73
Year 3 PV (M)1,165.851,200.171,235.16
Year 4 PV (M)1,399.811,455.021,511.85
Year 5 PV (M)1,617.531,697.671,780.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,586.0954,141.8056,797.82
Equity Value (M)57,329.9460,079.4762,934.90
Shares Outstanding (M)100.75100.75100.75
Fair Value$569.03$596.32$624.66
Upside / Downside65.31%73.24%81.47%

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