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Definitive Analysis

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Stratec SE (0RAR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.27 - $28.76$21.56
Multi-Stage$24.96 - $27.38$26.15
Blended Fair Value$23.86
Current Price$26.20
Upside-8.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.38%-0.53%0.550.970.950.900.830.810.780.750.730.68
YoY Growth---43.28%2.33%5.80%7.80%2.96%2.92%4.43%2.75%7.72%16.91%
Dividend Yield--2.26%2.58%1.51%0.89%0.72%1.14%1.29%1.02%1.30%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.941.841.10
Cash Retained (M)7.417.417.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.94-1.84-1.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.475.576.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.1612.1612.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.460.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.460.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.061.12
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate1.05%2.05%3.05%
Fair Value$16.27$21.56$28.76
Upside / Downside-37.90%-17.71%9.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.7015.0015.3115.6315.9516.2716.76
Payout Ratio49.62%57.69%65.77%73.85%81.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.298.6610.0711.5413.0614.6515.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate1.05%2.05%3.05%
Year 1 PV (M)8.018.088.16
Year 2 PV (M)8.618.798.96
Year 3 PV (M)9.139.409.68
Year 4 PV (M)9.569.9410.34
Year 5 PV (M)9.9110.4110.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)258.23271.27284.82
Equity Value (M)303.45317.89332.90
Shares Outstanding (M)12.1612.1612.16
Fair Value$24.96$26.15$27.38
Upside / Downside-4.72%-0.19%4.52%

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