Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bufab AB (publ) (0QRA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$144.36 - $617.81$354.66
Multi-Stage$72.87 - $79.70$76.22
Blended Fair Value$215.44
Current Price$87.76
Upside145.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.99%0.00%0.990.950.740.540.000.490.450.400.340.30
YoY Growth--5.00%28.57%35.92%0.00%-100.00%10.59%11.84%16.92%14.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.24%1.10%1.33%0.80%0.00%3.53%2.28%1.89%1.73%2.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)591.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)199.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)392.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)118.2073.8844.33
Cash Retained (M)392.00392.00392.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-118.20-73.88-44.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)273.80318.13347.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)190.24190.24190.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.441.671.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.441.671.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.492.722.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$144.36$354.66$617.81
Upside / Downside64.49%304.13%603.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)591.00629.42670.33713.90760.30809.72834.01
Payout Ratio33.67%44.94%56.20%67.47%78.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)199.00282.84376.74481.66598.62728.75771.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)261.09263.56266.03
Year 2 PV (M)321.01327.13333.30
Year 3 PV (M)378.84389.71400.79
Year 4 PV (M)434.61451.32468.52
Year 5 PV (M)488.39511.98536.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,978.3212,556.8813,157.58
Equity Value (M)13,862.2514,500.5715,162.69
Shares Outstanding (M)190.24190.24190.24
Fair Value$72.87$76.22$79.70
Upside / Downside-16.97%-13.15%-9.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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