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Definitive Analysis

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Hantech (098070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72,362.25 - $167,549.20$105,929.97
Multi-Stage$301,998.06 - $333,781.16$317,570.39
Blended Fair Value$211,750.18
Current Price$42,650.00
Upside396.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%320.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,287.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,970.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)32,317.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,257.574,535.982,721.59
Cash Retained (M)32,317.7132,317.7132,317.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,257.57-4,535.98-2,721.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,060.1427,781.7329,596.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
LTM Dividend per Share411.80411.80411.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,011.133,293.433,481.62
WACC / Discount Rate2.08%2.08%2.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$72,362.25$105,929.97$167,549.20
Upside / Downside69.67%148.37%292.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,287.8635,924.9835,565.7335,210.0834,857.9734,509.3935,544.68
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,970.159,610.8515,138.3520,554.3325,860.4831,058.4632,878.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.08%2.08%2.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,320.109,415.219,510.31
Year 2 PV (M)14,236.2714,528.2914,823.27
Year 3 PV (M)18,744.7619,324.4619,915.98
Year 4 PV (M)22,870.3123,818.1824,795.21
Year 5 PV (M)26,636.3128,023.3329,467.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,819,749.692,966,580.603,119,465.45
Equity Value (M)2,911,557.453,061,690.063,217,977.75
Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
Fair Value$301,998.06$317,570.39$333,781.16
Upside / Downside608.08%644.60%682.61%

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