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Definitive Analysis

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TES Co., Ltd (095610.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236,311.15 - $761,859.10$713,973.55
Multi-Stage$99,504.07 - $108,960.61$104,145.33
Blended Fair Value$409,059.44
Current Price$43,200.00
Upside846.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.71%27.74%499.96499.96591.92484.54328.10437.47444.31243.34123.1693.62
YoY Growth--0.00%-15.54%22.16%47.68%-25.00%-1.54%82.59%97.58%31.55%116.66%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.34%2.72%1.77%0.96%2.25%2.38%0.80%0.53%0.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,202.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,524.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)56,677.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,440.528,400.325,040.19
Cash Retained (M)56,677.8556,677.8556,677.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,440.52-8,400.32-5,040.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)43,237.3348,277.5251,637.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,464.722,752.032,943.57
LTM Dividend per Share599.96599.96599.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,464.722,752.032,943.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,064.683,351.993,543.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$236,311.15$713,973.55$761,859.10
Upside / Downside447.02%1,552.72%1,663.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,202.5871,570.7576,222.8581,177.3386,453.8692,073.3694,835.56
Payout Ratio15.66%30.53%45.40%60.26%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,524.7421,849.8134,602.6848,921.1064,954.7282,866.0287,722.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,253.5920,445.5720,637.54
Year 2 PV (M)29,731.6030,297.9130,869.55
Year 3 PV (M)38,963.6140,082.1141,221.82
Year 4 PV (M)47,954.3549,798.5451,695.41
Year 5 PV (M)56,708.4959,447.5362,291.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,551,938.531,626,897.741,704,725.82
Equity Value (M)1,745,550.171,826,969.401,911,441.55
Shares Outstanding (M)17.5417.5417.54
Fair Value$99,504.07$104,145.33$108,960.61
Upside / Downside130.33%141.08%152.22%

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