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Definitive Analysis

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HANMI Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (042700.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47,891.86 - $102,156.54$68,127.31
Multi-Stage$35,380.15 - $38,617.14$36,969.47
Blended Fair Value$52,548.39
Current Price$96,500.00
Upside-45.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.38%13.16%425.22204.29311.41206.4352.72131.91132.66113.38115.05125.52
YoY Growth--108.15%-34.40%50.86%291.55%-60.03%-0.56%17.00%-1.45%-8.34%1.59%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.14%1.50%1.18%0.22%1.92%1.60%1.01%1.71%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241,583.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68,294.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)173,289.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48,316.6830,197.9318,118.76
Cash Retained (M)173,289.26173,289.26173,289.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-48,316.68-30,197.93-18,118.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)124,972.58143,091.33155,170.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.3095.3095.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,311.431,501.561,628.32
LTM Dividend per Share716.66716.66716.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,311.431,501.561,628.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,028.092,218.222,344.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47,891.86$68,127.31$102,156.54
Upside / Downside-50.37%-29.40%5.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241,583.42257,286.34274,009.95291,820.60310,788.94330,990.22340,919.93
Payout Ratio28.27%40.62%52.96%65.31%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68,294.16104,498.17145,120.15190,581.49241,339.67297,891.20315,350.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94,134.0395,026.2995,918.56
Year 2 PV (M)117,761.59120,004.61122,268.80
Year 3 PV (M)139,313.95143,313.15147,388.17
Year 4 PV (M)158,920.73165,032.38171,318.63
Year 5 PV (M)176,704.45185,239.34194,100.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,684,717.012,814,389.852,949,025.57
Equity Value (M)3,371,551.773,523,005.633,680,020.61
Shares Outstanding (M)95.3095.3095.30
Fair Value$35,380.15$36,969.47$38,617.14
Upside / Downside-63.34%-61.69%-59.98%

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