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Definitive Analysis

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UNISEM Co., Ltd. (036200.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,545.32 - $3,610.48$3,070.63
Multi-Stage$3,831.71 - $4,207.50$4,015.98
Blended Fair Value$3,543.30
Current Price$6,120.00
Upside-42.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.92%0.00%80.08100.10120.1180.0850.0560.0660.0640.5430.410.00
YoY Growth---20.00%-16.67%50.00%60.00%-16.67%0.00%48.13%33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.29%1.09%1.32%0.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,342.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,353.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,989.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,268.561,417.85850.71
Cash Retained (M)8,989.518,989.518,989.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,268.56-1,417.85-850.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,720.957,571.668,138.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.3929.3929.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share228.70257.64276.94
LTM Dividend per Share80.0880.0880.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share228.70257.64276.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend308.77337.72357.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,545.32$3,070.63$3,610.48
Upside / Downside-58.41%-49.83%-41.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,342.7911,229.3711,117.0711,005.9010,895.8410,786.8811,110.49
Payout Ratio20.75%34.60%48.45%62.30%76.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,353.283,885.095,386.026,856.548,297.129,708.1910,277.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,499.773,535.483,571.20
Year 2 PV (M)4,370.654,460.304,550.86
Year 3 PV (M)5,012.135,167.135,325.30
Year 4 PV (M)5,463.655,690.095,923.50
Year 5 PV (M)5,758.826,058.696,370.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)88,501.3193,109.7897,908.26
Equity Value (M)112,606.32118,021.47123,650.04
Shares Outstanding (M)29.3929.3929.39
Fair Value$3,831.71$4,015.98$4,207.50
Upside / Downside-37.39%-34.38%-31.25%

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