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Definitive Analysis

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Zinus, Inc (013890.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,869.00 - $23,275.80$19,434.56
Multi-Stage$27,046.42 - $29,783.60$28,388.14
Blended Fair Value$23,911.35
Current Price$17,020.00
Upside40.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%86.77464.67392.01338.93480.250.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---81.33%18.54%15.66%-29.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%3.42%1.68%0.62%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43,305.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,973.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)41,331.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,661.015,413.133,247.88
Cash Retained (M)41,331.7341,331.7341,331.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,661.01-5,413.13-3,247.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,670.7235,918.6038,083.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9220.9220.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,561.381,716.601,820.08
LTM Dividend per Share94.3194.3194.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,561.381,716.601,820.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,655.691,810.911,914.39
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15,869.00$19,434.56$23,275.80
Upside / Downside-6.76%14.19%36.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43,305.0542,872.0042,443.2842,018.8541,598.6641,182.6742,418.15
Payout Ratio4.56%21.65%38.73%55.82%72.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,973.329,279.8316,440.0123,456.0630,330.1537,064.4139,236.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,487.988,574.598,661.20
Year 2 PV (M)13,754.0414,036.1714,321.16
Year 3 PV (M)17,949.2918,504.3919,070.81
Year 4 PV (M)21,229.0622,108.9123,015.82
Year 5 PV (M)23,728.8924,964.5026,251.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)480,776.80505,811.96531,879.34
Equity Value (M)565,926.05594,000.51623,199.39
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9220.9220.92
Fair Value$27,046.42$28,388.14$29,783.60
Upside / Downside58.91%66.79%74.99%

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