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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Mobis Co.,Ltd (012330.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,063,811.36 - $2,888,949.94$1,638,505.41
Multi-Stage$1,158,916.54 - $1,272,020.26$1,214,401.55
Blended Fair Value$1,426,453.48
Current Price$298,500.00
Upside377.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.02%7.92%4,441.774,014.654,024.965,050.393,065.175,177.703,624.393,635.313,627.343,195.90
YoY Growth--10.64%-0.26%-20.30%64.77%-40.80%42.86%-0.30%0.22%13.50%54.12%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.60%1.86%2.35%1.05%3.05%1.72%1.52%1.51%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,172,240.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)583,383.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,588,857.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)834,448.00521,530.00312,918.00
Cash Retained (M)3,588,857.003,588,857.003,588,857.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-834,448.00-521,530.00-312,918.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,754,409.003,067,327.003,275,939.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)91.4591.4591.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share30,117.8933,539.4735,820.52
LTM Dividend per Share6,378.966,378.966,378.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share30,117.8933,539.4735,820.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend36,496.8539,918.4342,199.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Fair Value$1,063,811.36$1,638,505.41$2,888,949.94
Upside / Downside256.39%448.91%867.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,172,240.004,339,278.464,513,004.424,693,685.624,881,600.515,077,038.705,229,349.86
Payout Ratio13.98%29.19%44.39%59.59%74.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)583,383.001,266,461.432,003,299.802,797,107.863,651,266.224,569,334.834,837,148.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.00%4.00%5.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,177,318.591,188,748.471,200,178.35
Year 2 PV (M)1,731,211.041,764,988.791,799,092.89
Year 3 PV (M)2,247,063.322,313,146.932,380,513.64
Year 4 PV (M)2,726,789.592,834,232.722,944,820.17
Year 5 PV (M)3,172,218.873,329,223.823,492,384.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)94,933,241.2999,631,841.83104,514,668.72
Equity Value (M)105,987,842.69111,062,182.56116,331,658.51
Shares Outstanding (M)91.4591.4591.45
Fair Value$1,158,916.54$1,214,401.55$1,272,020.26
Upside / Downside288.25%306.83%326.14%

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