Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co., Ltd. (009150.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$100,286.60 - $162,605.21$128,266.36
Multi-Stage$122,549.92 - $134,307.29$128,318.16
Blended Fair Value$128,292.26
Current Price$193,500.00
Upside-33.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.12%4.27%1,156.842,093.942,110.401,712.981,087.07992.29790.26625.24535.55822.36
YoY Growth---44.75%-0.78%23.20%57.58%9.55%25.56%26.39%16.75%-34.88%8.02%
Dividend Yield--0.90%1.36%1.38%1.04%0.58%1.02%0.74%0.59%0.77%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)691,691.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)137,716.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)553,974.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138,338.2886,461.4351,876.86
Cash Retained (M)553,974.77553,974.77553,974.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-138,338.28-86,461.43-51,876.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)415,636.49467,513.35502,097.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.5776.5776.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,427.876,105.346,556.99
LTM Dividend per Share1,798.471,798.471,798.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,427.876,105.346,556.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,226.347,903.818,355.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate1.72%2.72%3.72%
Fair Value$100,286.60$128,266.36$162,605.21
Upside / Downside-48.17%-33.71%-15.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)691,691.42710,511.61729,843.87749,702.15770,100.76791,054.38814,786.01
Payout Ratio19.91%33.93%47.95%61.96%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)137,716.64241,063.10349,931.50464,545.83585,138.15711,948.94753,677.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate1.72%2.72%3.72%
Year 1 PV (M)218,904.22221,056.23223,208.24
Year 2 PV (M)288,555.81294,257.18300,014.32
Year 3 PV (M)347,855.39358,215.69368,779.68
Year 4 PV (M)397,879.88413,758.06430,106.80
Year 5 PV (M)439,608.22461,645.83484,558.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,691,395.158,076,965.628,477,846.30
Equity Value (M)9,384,198.679,825,898.6110,284,513.86
Shares Outstanding (M)76.5776.5776.57
Fair Value$122,549.92$128,318.16$134,307.29
Upside / Downside-36.67%-33.69%-30.59%

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