Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Dayang Biology Technology Co.,Ltd. (003017.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$190.93 - $224.95$210.81
Multi-Stage$418.46 - $459.42$438.55
Blended Fair Value$324.68
Current Price$32.39
Upside902.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.25%8.55%0.520.520.480.470.170.290.290.330.280.11
YoY Growth--0.24%9.08%1.97%172.28%-41.29%2.40%-14.21%20.90%142.84%-50.59%
Dividend Yield--2.49%2.72%2.22%1.65%0.53%0.99%0.96%1.12%0.93%0.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.5011.566.94
Cash Retained (M)62.6362.6362.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.50-11.56-6.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.1351.0755.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81.7981.7981.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.620.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.620.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.991.05
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$190.93$210.81$224.95
Upside / Downside489.47%550.84%594.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.5298.53104.94111.76119.02126.76130.56
Payout Ratio32.30%43.84%55.38%66.92%78.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.8943.2058.1274.7993.38114.08120.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.9553.4553.96
Year 2 PV (M)87.3288.9990.66
Year 3 PV (M)137.75141.70145.73
Year 4 PV (M)210.84218.95227.29
Year 5 PV (M)315.72330.97346.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,422.7935,037.1236,713.24
Equity Value (M)34,227.3735,871.1837,577.68
Shares Outstanding (M)81.7981.7981.79
Fair Value$418.46$438.55$459.42
Upside / Downside1,191.93%1,253.97%1,318.39%

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