Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Impulse (Qingdao) Health Tech Co.,Ltd. (002899.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.48 - $23.22$15.11
Multi-Stage$9.92 - $10.86$10.38
Blended Fair Value$12.75
Current Price$22.88
Upside-44.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.58%-2.81%0.300.270.190.100.000.080.060.060.110.12
YoY Growth--8.34%47.05%93.34%66,120.84%-99.81%21.74%-0.02%-43.34%-5.06%-69.74%
Dividend Yield--1.35%1.88%1.37%0.68%0.00%0.62%0.39%0.26%0.49%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.519.075.44
Cash Retained (M)43.8743.8743.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.51-9.07-5.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3634.8038.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.52134.52134.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Fair Value$10.48$15.11$23.22
Upside / Downside-54.19%-33.95%1.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.5676.0479.6983.5287.5491.7494.49
Payout Ratio39.54%49.63%59.72%69.82%79.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.6937.7447.6058.3169.9582.5787.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Year 1 PV (M)34.5934.9235.25
Year 2 PV (M)39.9740.7541.53
Year 3 PV (M)44.8846.1947.53
Year 4 PV (M)49.3451.2753.25
Year 5 PV (M)53.3755.9958.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,112.831,167.471,224.24
Equity Value (M)1,334.981,396.591,460.52
Shares Outstanding (M)134.52134.52134.52
Fair Value$9.92$10.38$10.86
Upside / Downside-56.63%-54.62%-52.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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