Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hangzhou Star Shuaier Electric Appliance Co., Ltd. (002860.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.62 - $104.41$97.85
Multi-Stage$58.82 - $64.55$61.63
Blended Fair Value$79.74
Current Price$13.81
Upside477.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.93%4.08%0.100.090.110.090.070.050.070.060.050.05
YoY Growth--4.70%-15.18%15.46%27.42%40.60%-23.34%23.30%1.55%8.57%-22.09%
Dividend Yield--0.94%0.88%0.79%0.76%0.68%0.54%0.72%0.47%0.68%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)175.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)138.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.0921.9313.16
Cash Retained (M)138.57138.57138.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.09-21.93-13.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.48116.64125.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)334.14334.14334.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.49
WACC / Discount Rate2.77%2.77%2.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$88.62$97.85$104.41
Upside / Downside541.72%608.54%656.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)175.43186.83198.97211.91225.68240.35247.56
Payout Ratio21.01%34.81%48.61%62.40%76.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.8665.0396.71132.24171.97216.31228.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.77%2.77%2.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.6863.2863.87
Year 2 PV (M)89.8691.5793.29
Year 3 PV (M)118.43121.82125.29
Year 4 PV (M)148.45154.16160.03
Year 5 PV (M)179.98188.68197.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,053.1519,973.4220,928.92
Equity Value (M)19,652.5520,592.9321,569.11
Shares Outstanding (M)334.14334.14334.14
Fair Value$58.82$61.63$64.55
Upside / Downside325.89%346.27%367.43%

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