Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Landai Technology Group Corp., Ltd. (002765.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.10 - $27.65$13.30
Multi-Stage$5.22 - $5.71$5.46
Blended Fair Value$9.38
Current Price$14.24
Upside-34.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.53%-8.26%0.040.090.080.040.030.020.050.050.100.09
YoY Growth---53.60%4.53%91.97%56.22%24.02%-57.87%-1.15%-44.44%3.18%-1.93%
Dividend Yield--0.28%1.64%1.05%0.59%0.58%0.53%0.67%0.59%0.63%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.2423.9014.34
Cash Retained (M)139.16139.16139.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.24-23.90-14.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)100.92115.26124.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)652.09652.09652.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.10$13.30$27.65
Upside / Downside-43.11%-6.61%94.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.21203.64216.88230.97245.99261.98269.83
Payout Ratio27.22%39.78%52.33%64.89%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.0581.00113.50149.87190.50235.78249.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.55%8.55%8.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73.9274.6275.32
Year 2 PV (M)94.5196.3198.13
Year 3 PV (M)113.89117.16120.49
Year 4 PV (M)132.10137.18142.41
Year 5 PV (M)149.20156.41163.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,843.472,980.813,123.40
Equity Value (M)3,407.093,562.493,723.64
Shares Outstanding (M)652.09652.09652.09
Fair Value$5.22$5.46$5.71
Upside / Downside-63.31%-61.63%-59.90%

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