Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Kukje Pharma Co., Ltd. (002720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,516.10 - $5,524.67$4,437.53
Multi-Stage$4,907.51 - $5,390.23$5,144.26
Blended Fair Value$4,790.90
Current Price$4,370.00
Upside9.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.0025.318.117.760.007.26
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%211.95%4.61%0.00%-100.00%3.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.50%0.17%0.15%0.00%0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,136.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)610.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,526.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,427.38892.11535.27
Cash Retained (M)6,526.046,526.046,526.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,427.38-892.11-535.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,098.665,633.935,990.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.3520.3520.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share250.51276.81294.34
LTM Dividend per Share30.0130.0130.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share250.51276.81294.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend280.53306.82324.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate0.48%1.48%2.48%
Fair Value$3,516.10$4,437.53$5,524.67
Upside / Downside-19.54%1.55%26.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,136.927,242.797,350.237,459.267,569.927,682.217,912.68
Payout Ratio8.56%24.85%41.14%57.42%73.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)610.881,799.653,023.564,283.395,579.936,913.997,319.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate0.48%1.48%2.48%
Year 1 PV (M)1,642.321,658.661,675.00
Year 2 PV (M)2,518.002,568.372,619.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,255.313,353.473,453.59
Year 4 PV (M)3,869.924,026.294,187.35
Year 5 PV (M)4,375.934,598.064,829.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,221.2188,496.2692,943.17
Equity Value (M)99,882.69104,701.10109,707.45
Shares Outstanding (M)20.3520.3520.35
Fair Value$4,907.51$5,144.26$5,390.23
Upside / Downside12.30%17.72%23.35%

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