Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Korea Industrial Co., Ltd. (002140.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,948.61 - $64,522.15$21,662.53
Multi-Stage$12,233.39 - $13,436.09$12,823.37
Blended Fair Value$17,242.95
Current Price$2,610.00
Upside560.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.58%0.22%24.9624.9639.9434.9529.9629.9634.9529.3129.7443.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-37.50%14.29%16.67%0.00%-14.29%19.24%-1.44%-31.70%78.25%
Dividend Yield--0.96%0.79%1.10%0.96%0.70%1.49%1.57%0.85%0.41%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,147.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)740.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,407.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,829.531,143.46686.07
Cash Retained (M)8,407.518,407.518,407.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,829.53-1,143.46-686.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,577.987,264.057,721.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
LTM Dividend per Share29.9629.9629.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend296.18323.95342.46
WACC / Discount Rate5.77%5.77%5.77%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Fair Value$11,948.61$21,662.53$64,522.15
Upside / Downside357.80%729.98%2,372.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,147.659,533.019,934.6110,353.1210,789.2711,243.7911,581.10
Payout Ratio8.09%24.47%40.85%57.24%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)740.142,333.004,058.755,925.767,942.8710,119.4110,712.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.77%5.77%5.77%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Year 1 PV (M)2,184.542,205.712,226.87
Year 2 PV (M)3,558.633,627.923,697.88
Year 3 PV (M)4,864.975,007.755,153.30
Year 4 PV (M)6,106.036,346.136,593.24
Year 5 PV (M)7,284.207,643.988,017.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)278,267.09292,011.13306,292.94
Equity Value (M)302,265.46316,842.61331,982.06
Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
Fair Value$12,233.39$12,823.37$13,436.09
Upside / Downside368.71%391.32%414.79%

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