Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hengdian Group DMEGC Magnetics Co. ,Ltd (002056.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139.71 - $292.74$274.34
Multi-Stage$44.43 - $48.64$46.50
Blended Fair Value$160.42
Current Price$20.49
Upside682.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.47%23.34%0.410.390.260.240.160.150.110.060.070.09
YoY Growth--4.20%50.23%9.64%46.58%5.13%34.98%81.09%-15.17%-21.66%89.64%
Dividend Yield--2.64%2.62%1.26%1.74%1.06%1.53%1.55%0.65%0.93%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,352.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)727.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,625.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)470.58294.12176.47
Cash Retained (M)1,625.421,625.421,625.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-470.58-294.12-176.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,154.841,331.311,448.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,598.451,598.451,598.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.830.91
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.830.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139.71$274.34$292.74
Upside / Downside581.83%1,238.92%1,328.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,352.922,505.862,668.752,842.213,026.963,223.713,320.42
Payout Ratio30.92%42.74%54.55%66.37%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)727.501,070.891,455.841,886.312,366.592,901.343,071.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)997.121,006.571,016.03
Year 2 PV (M)1,262.191,286.231,310.49
Year 3 PV (M)1,522.751,566.461,611.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,778.871,847.281,917.64
Year 5 PV (M)2,030.602,128.682,230.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,424.1566,487.5669,668.22
Equity Value (M)71,015.6774,322.7777,753.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,598.451,598.451,598.45
Fair Value$44.43$46.50$48.64
Upside / Downside116.83%126.92%137.40%

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