Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian Septwolves Industry Co., Ltd. (002029.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.87 - $29.61$18.80
Multi-Stage$53.49 - $59.04$56.21
Blended Fair Value$37.51
Current Price$8.03
Upside367.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.48%1.23%0.130.010.070.100.110.110.110.110.110.11
YoY Growth--2,292.54%-92.50%-32.68%-6.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%0.09%1.19%1.89%2.08%2.14%1.44%1.23%1.07%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)451.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)67.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)90.3656.4733.88
Cash Retained (M)384.21384.21384.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-90.36-56.47-33.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)293.86327.74350.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)679.13679.13679.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.480.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.62
WACC / Discount Rate3.34%3.34%3.34%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$12.87$18.80$29.61
Upside / Downside60.27%134.11%268.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)451.78452.83453.88454.93455.99457.04470.75
Payout Ratio14.96%29.96%44.97%59.98%74.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)67.56135.69204.12272.88341.95411.34435.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.34%3.34%3.34%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)130.00131.31132.62
Year 2 PV (M)187.36191.16194.99
Year 3 PV (M)239.97247.30254.77
Year 4 PV (M)288.10299.89312.04
Year 5 PV (M)332.03349.10366.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,149.1536,956.2738,836.96
Equity Value (M)36,326.6138,175.0240,098.24
Shares Outstanding (M)679.13679.13679.13
Fair Value$53.49$56.21$59.04
Upside / Downside566.13%600.02%635.29%

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