Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Wasu Media Holding Co.,Ltd (000156.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.41 - $11.52$7.69
Multi-Stage$3.90 - $4.26$4.08
Blended Fair Value$5.88
Current Price$8.03
Upside-26.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.47%36.28%0.240.220.200.170.490.170.150.110.030.00
YoY Growth--10.90%10.00%17.65%-65.12%186.36%10.00%42.86%300.00%997.76%-77.66%
Dividend Yield--2.94%2.63%2.24%2.10%5.87%1.82%1.22%0.95%0.16%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)531.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)494.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.2666.4139.85
Cash Retained (M)494.74494.74494.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.26-66.41-39.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)388.48428.33454.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,852.551,852.551,852.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$5.41$7.69$11.52
Upside / Downside-32.65%-4.24%43.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)531.30565.67602.27641.24682.72726.90748.70
Payout Ratio6.88%23.50%40.13%56.75%73.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.56132.96241.68363.92500.96654.21692.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)119.80120.93122.07
Year 2 PV (M)196.20199.94203.71
Year 3 PV (M)266.19273.83281.62
Year 4 PV (M)330.15342.85355.92
Year 5 PV (M)388.47407.24426.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,921.766,207.876,504.93
Equity Value (M)7,222.577,552.667,894.97
Shares Outstanding (M)1,852.551,852.551,852.55
Fair Value$3.90$4.08$4.26
Upside / Downside-51.45%-49.23%-46.93%

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