Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.91 - $58.49$33.57
Multi-Stage$15.37 - $16.77$16.06
Blended Fair Value$24.81
Current Price$10.60
Upside134.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.27%9.98%0.410.400.370.320.320.260.250.210.200.18
YoY Growth--1.25%9.42%14.66%0.96%21.45%5.53%19.83%3.64%9.32%16.07%
Dividend Yield--4.60%5.13%4.00%2.47%2.32%3.59%2.54%1.67%1.70%1.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)518.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)244.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)273.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.6664.7938.87
Cash Retained (M)273.32273.32273.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.66-64.79-38.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)169.66208.54234.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)557.68557.68557.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.370.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.370.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.91$33.57$58.49
Upside / Downside106.70%216.68%451.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)518.29551.98587.86626.07666.76710.10731.41
Payout Ratio47.26%55.81%64.36%72.91%81.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)244.97308.07378.34456.44543.10639.09676.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)279.77282.42285.08
Year 2 PV (M)312.03317.97323.97
Year 3 PV (M)341.87351.68361.68
Year 4 PV (M)369.41383.62398.23
Year 5 PV (M)394.78413.85433.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,873.627,205.627,550.33
Equity Value (M)8,571.488,955.169,352.93
Shares Outstanding (M)557.68557.68557.68
Fair Value$15.37$16.06$16.77
Upside / Downside45.00%51.49%58.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
GHYPGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc15.29%$1.8962.38%
BGRBlackRock Energy and Resources Trust15.26%$2.1298.26%
BOEBlackRock Enhanced Global Dividend Trust15.09%$1.7867.28%
FENFirst Trust Energy Income and Growth Fund15.00%$2.4049.79%
SOJESouthern Company (The) Series 214.95%$2.6967.01%
PSFCohen & Steers Select Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.84%$3.0256.28%
EVGEaton Vance Short Duration Diversified Income Fund14.82%$1.6271.62%
LDPCohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.73%$3.1554.69%
DNPDNP Select Income Fund Inc.14.64%$1.4553.01%
JRSNuveen Real Estate Income Fund14.56%$1.1189.79%
DPGDuff & Phelps Utility and Infrastructure Fund Inc.14.47%$1.8654.60%
BSTBlackRock Science and Technology Trust14.42%$5.8646.91%
MPAIXMorgan Stanley Insti Fd Advantage Portfolio Cl I14.33%$4.0043.20%
JCAPJefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock14.11%$3.1245.65%
PHTPioneer High Income Fund, Inc.13.99%$1.1961.96%
RZC7.125% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Debentures due 205213.93%$3.5527.34%
RNPCohen & Steers REIT and Preferred Income Fund, Inc.13.88%$2.7761.92%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.13.87%$0.7010.86%
STT-PDState Street Corporation13.86%$3.4633.48%
FCTFirst Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II13.80%$1.3867.42%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.13.57%$4.4389.50%
DHFBNY Mellon High Yield Strategies Fund13.55%$0.3461.16%
JHIJohn Hancock Investors Trust13.15%$1.7974.97%
AIOVirtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund12.91%$2.8238.01%
UTFCohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund, Inc12.84%$3.1453.56%
DFPFlaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc.12.81%$2.6848.05%
WEAWestern Asset Premier Bond Fund12.81%$1.4380.16%
TPZTortoise Essential Energy Fund12.76%$2.6467.76%
FTFranklin Universal Trust12.72%$1.0256.42%
CSQCalamos Strategic Total Return Fund12.70%$2.4351.10%
HYBThe New America High Income Fund Inc.12.68%$1.0463.42%
NBBNuveen Taxable Municipal Income Fund12.66%$2.0085.04%
RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corp.12.66%$1.1475.51%
ELVTElevate Credit, Inc.12.61%$0.2475.91%
NDPTortoise Energy Independence Fund, Inc.12.60%$5.0986.32%
BCEICivitas Resources, Inc.12.58%$7.0698.41%
GENVRGen Digital Inc. Contingent Value Rights12.54%$0.5054.91%
SOJCThe Southern Company JR 2017B NT 7712.31%$2.6967.01%
BTOJohn Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund12.25%$4.3229.72%
FEIFirst Trust MLP and Energy Income Fund12.21%$1.2058.56%
PCNPIMCO Corporate & Income Strategy Fund12.19%$1.5568.95%
HTDJohn Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund12.17%$2.9051.08%
NIEVirtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund12.17%$3.0445.26%
PFDFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Fund Inc.11.99%$1.4348.51%
TYGTortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation11.98%$4.9643.95%
FPLFirst Trust New Opportunities MLP & Energy Fund11.82%$0.9254.20%
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust11.69%$1.2692.75%
BHBFXMadison Dividend Income Fd Cl Y11.61%$2.8540.22%
CGABLThe Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 206111.57%$2.0197.92%
DBLDoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund11.57%$1.7652.03%