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Trisul S.A. (TRIS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.97 - $237.61$222.67
Multi-Stage$35.53 - $38.91$37.19
Blended Fair Value$129.93
Current Price$7.34
Upside1,670.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%13.67%0.200.140.220.250.220.110.070.050.050.06
YoY Growth--44.09%-37.47%-11.19%12.49%100.00%63.27%28.95%0.00%-5.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.47%7.32%5.19%2.28%1.55%1.44%1.81%4.00%3.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)213.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)159.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.6526.6615.99
Cash Retained (M)159.26159.26159.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.65-26.66-15.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.61132.60143.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)178.50178.50178.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$108.97$222.67$237.61
Upside / Downside1,384.56%2,933.70%3,137.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)213.26227.12241.88257.61274.35292.18300.95
Payout Ratio25.32%38.26%51.19%64.13%77.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.0086.89123.83165.20211.43262.97278.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)80.8881.6482.41
Year 2 PV (M)107.28109.33111.39
Year 3 PV (M)133.22137.05140.95
Year 4 PV (M)158.71164.81171.09
Year 5 PV (M)183.73192.61201.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,678.235,952.496,237.25
Equity Value (M)6,342.056,637.926,944.90
Shares Outstanding (M)178.50178.50178.50
Fair Value$35.53$37.19$38.91
Upside / Downside384.07%406.65%430.08%

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