Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Periods / Units / Analysis

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.24 - $65.03$50.65
Multi-Stage$75.64 - $83.18$79.34
Blended Fair Value$65.00
Current Price$98.85
Upside-34.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-8.89%-1.28%1.150.940.860.450.461.821.861.801.781.58
YoY Growth--21.80%9.02%92.63%-2.06%-74.94%-2.03%3.27%1.19%12.67%21.34%
Dividend Yield--1.87%1.00%1.17%0.64%0.77%20.09%8.04%4.76%2.71%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)145.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.0018.1310.88
Cash Retained (M)93.5093.5093.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.00-18.13-10.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.5075.3882.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.4342.4342.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.781.95
LTM Dividend per Share1.211.211.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.781.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.732.993.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Fair Value$39.24$50.65$65.03
Upside / Downside-60.30%-48.76%-34.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)145.00145.83146.66147.50148.34149.19153.66
Payout Ratio35.52%46.41%57.31%68.21%79.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.5067.6884.05100.60117.34134.27142.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-0.43%0.57%1.57%
Year 1 PV (M)62.9263.5564.18
Year 2 PV (M)72.6374.0975.57
Year 3 PV (M)80.8183.2685.77
Year 4 PV (M)87.6191.1894.86
Year 5 PV (M)93.1997.96102.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,811.752,955.813,105.71
Equity Value (M)3,208.903,365.863,529.03
Shares Outstanding (M)42.4342.4342.43
Fair Value$75.64$79.34$83.18
Upside / Downside-23.48%-19.74%-15.85%

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