Definitive Analysis
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IDT Corporation (IDT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.25 - $26.91$23.07
Multi-Stage$32.74 - $36.08$34.38
Blended Fair Value$28.72
Current Price$50.66
Upside-43.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-19.34%0.220.100.000.000.000.000.000.550.710.69
YoY Growth--118.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-22.00%2.97%-63.53%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.84%5.37%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.2410.156.09
Cash Retained (M)75.4175.4175.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.24-10.15-6.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.1665.2569.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.342.582.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.342.582.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.572.812.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Fair Value$19.25$23.07$26.91
Upside / Downside-62.00%-54.46%-46.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.2178.9776.7974.6772.6170.6172.72
Payout Ratio7.15%23.72%40.29%56.86%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8018.7330.9442.4653.3263.5567.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9917.1717.34
Year 2 PV (M)25.4625.9926.53
Year 3 PV (M)31.7032.7033.71
Year 4 PV (M)36.1137.6439.21
Year 5 PV (M)39.0441.1243.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)677.81713.76751.22
Equity Value (M)827.11868.36911.29
Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
Fair Value$32.74$34.38$36.08
Upside / Downside-35.36%-32.14%-28.79%

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