Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited (GPSC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.10 - $343.60$180.69
Multi-Stage$52.48 - $57.47$54.93
Blended Fair Value$117.81
Current Price$29.25
Upside302.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%36.42%0.890.601.201.501.300.930.660.610.560.40
YoY Growth--48.33%-50.00%-20.00%15.38%39.39%40.41%8.70%9.52%40.47%896.67%
Dividend Yield--3.32%1.14%1.76%2.07%1.69%1.63%1.28%0.90%1.85%1.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,929.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,537.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,391.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)985.82616.14369.68
Cash Retained (M)2,391.362,391.362,391.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-985.82-616.14-369.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,405.541,775.222,021.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.630.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$77.10$180.69$343.60
Upside / Downside163.58%517.73%1,074.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,929.125,194.845,474.885,770.026,081.076,408.896,601.15
Payout Ratio51.48%59.19%66.89%74.59%82.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,537.763,074.723,662.204,304.095,004.545,768.006,106.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2,865.542,892.992,920.44
Year 2 PV (M)3,180.863,242.093,303.91
Year 3 PV (M)3,484.043,585.133,688.16
Year 4 PV (M)3,775.443,922.194,073.19
Year 5 PV (M)4,055.364,253.354,459.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)130,815.87137,202.75143,836.69
Equity Value (M)148,177.10155,098.51162,281.39
Shares Outstanding (M)2,823.522,823.522,823.52
Fair Value$52.48$54.93$57.47
Upside / Downside79.42%87.80%96.50%

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