Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

BHP Group Limited (BHP.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.89 - $53.73$42.94
Multi-Stage$63.29 - $69.39$66.28
Blended Fair Value$54.61
Current Price$24.18
Upside125.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.42%-0.15%1.261.512.613.511.561.352.241.030.580.81
YoY Growth---16.57%-42.15%-25.67%125.93%14.91%-39.66%118.30%78.71%-29.27%-36.44%
Dividend Yield--5.21%5.24%8.72%12.34%4.80%6.15%8.68%4.60%3.61%6.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,916.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,078.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,838.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,383.202,114.501,268.70
Cash Retained (M)2,838.002,838.002,838.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,383.20-2,114.50-1,268.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-545.20723.501,569.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,080.005,080.005,080.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.140.31
LTM Dividend per Share2.772.772.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.140.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.662.913.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Fair Value$33.89$42.94$53.73
Upside / Downside40.16%77.58%122.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,916.0016,982.6017,049.4617,116.5917,183.9817,251.6417,769.18
Payout Ratio83.22%84.58%85.93%87.29%88.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,078.0014,363.6114,651.2514,940.9315,232.6715,526.4716,436.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)13,264.6613,398.1113,531.57
Year 2 PV (M)12,495.0912,747.7813,003.00
Year 3 PV (M)11,767.2512,126.0012,491.98
Year 4 PV (M)11,079.1311,531.7711,998.14
Year 5 PV (M)10,428.8110,964.1011,521.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)262,469.55275,941.44289,960.93
Equity Value (M)321,504.49336,709.21352,506.76
Shares Outstanding (M)5,080.005,080.005,080.00
Fair Value$63.29$66.28$69.39
Upside / Downside161.74%174.12%186.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
GHYPGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc15.29%$1.8962.38%
BGRBlackRock Energy and Resources Trust15.26%$2.1298.26%
BOEBlackRock Enhanced Global Dividend Trust15.09%$1.7867.28%
FENFirst Trust Energy Income and Growth Fund15.00%$2.4049.79%
SOJESouthern Company (The) Series 214.95%$2.6967.01%
PSFCohen & Steers Select Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.84%$3.0256.28%
EVGEaton Vance Short Duration Diversified Income Fund14.82%$1.6271.62%
LDPCohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.73%$3.1554.69%
DNPDNP Select Income Fund Inc.14.64%$1.4553.01%
JRSNuveen Real Estate Income Fund14.56%$1.1189.79%
DPGDuff & Phelps Utility and Infrastructure Fund Inc.14.47%$1.8654.60%
BSTBlackRock Science and Technology Trust14.42%$5.8646.91%
MPAIXMorgan Stanley Insti Fd Advantage Portfolio Cl I14.33%$4.0043.20%
JCAPJefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock14.11%$3.1245.65%
PHTPioneer High Income Fund, Inc.13.99%$1.1961.96%
RZC7.125% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Debentures due 205213.93%$3.5527.34%
RNPCohen & Steers REIT and Preferred Income Fund, Inc.13.88%$2.7761.92%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.13.87%$0.7010.86%
STT-PDState Street Corporation13.86%$3.4633.48%
FCTFirst Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II13.80%$1.3867.42%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.13.57%$4.4389.50%
DHFBNY Mellon High Yield Strategies Fund13.55%$0.3461.16%
JHIJohn Hancock Investors Trust13.15%$1.7974.97%
AIOVirtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund12.91%$2.8238.01%
UTFCohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund, Inc12.84%$3.1453.56%
DFPFlaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc.12.81%$2.6848.05%
WEAWestern Asset Premier Bond Fund12.81%$1.4380.16%
TPZTortoise Essential Energy Fund12.76%$2.6467.76%
FTFranklin Universal Trust12.72%$1.0256.42%
CSQCalamos Strategic Total Return Fund12.70%$2.4351.10%
HYBThe New America High Income Fund Inc.12.68%$1.0463.42%
NBBNuveen Taxable Municipal Income Fund12.66%$2.0085.04%
RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corp.12.66%$1.1475.51%
ELVTElevate Credit, Inc.12.61%$0.2475.91%
NDPTortoise Energy Independence Fund, Inc.12.60%$5.0986.32%
BCEICivitas Resources, Inc.12.58%$7.0698.41%
GENVRGen Digital Inc. Contingent Value Rights12.54%$0.5054.91%
SOJCThe Southern Company JR 2017B NT 7712.31%$2.6967.01%
BTOJohn Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund12.25%$4.3229.72%
FEIFirst Trust MLP and Energy Income Fund12.21%$1.2058.56%
PCNPIMCO Corporate & Income Strategy Fund12.19%$1.5568.95%
HTDJohn Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund12.17%$2.9051.08%
NIEVirtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund12.17%$3.0445.26%
PFDFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Fund Inc.11.99%$1.4348.51%
TYGTortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation11.98%$4.9643.95%
FPLFirst Trust New Opportunities MLP & Energy Fund11.82%$0.9254.20%
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust11.69%$1.2692.75%
BHBFXMadison Dividend Income Fd Cl Y11.61%$2.8540.22%
CGABLThe Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 206111.57%$2.0197.92%
DBLDoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund11.57%$1.7652.03%